shortdawg said:
I like both players but I think McFadden will win it if he stays healthy.
I like both players too, BUT, I will be suprised if McFadden actually wins the heisman this year.
McFadden, may be the "most talented player in America" & he has the pre-season pub, but I think that the Razorbacks are going to be even more 1 dimensional than they were last year & we saw what they did in the SEC Championship game against FL. With Mustain & the other Springfield kids transferring to other schools & now that Monk is out for the 1st several games, teams will be able to cheat up & load the box with 8 players, so I expect Arkansas to look a whole lot like they did against FL. And as you already know, they SEC is full of teams with dominating defenses, like LSU, that could potentially shut McFadden down completely, especially if Arkansas is indeed one dimensional & if they can key on him. Sure McFadden will get some yards, but I don't think that they will be quite the "eye popping" numbers that many expect. I also don't think that Arkansas win as many games as they won in 2006 & the Heisman usually comes from a team with at least 9 wins.
I actually think that Woodson has a better chance than McFadden, but in order for him to do that, KY is probably going to have to be 5-1 or 6-0 going into the LSU game (which I think is going to very tough, but doable... 3 cupcakes & then win 2 out of 3 against Louisville, South Carolina & Arkansas).
Before people start chuckling, KY finished the season 5-1 with wins over Georgia & Clemson & their only loss was to Tenneessee by 5 points in a VERY close game. KY returns more key talent than any of those teams return, so it is certainly do-able for them to start this season 5-1 or 6-0. Anyway, if that happens, the LSU / UK game will be in the national spot light on prime time TV, in a game that could feature the SEC's top offense verses the SEC's top defense. IF, and this is a big IF... IF Woodson can put up some good numbers against LSU, in front of a national TV audience, even if KY still loses, I have little to no doubt that he would easily be the favorite for heisman at that point. Of course, he would then have to put up good numbers against Florida, Georgia, UT, Miss State & Vandy, so like I said, it's possible, but that is not going to be an easy task.
Also, unlike McFadden's Arkansas team, Kentucky is going to be very balanced on offense & harder to stop. KY has a legit "homerun threat" running back, in Raphel Little, who was #5 in the country in all purpose yards & was a 1000 yard rusher, as a healthy soph, 2 years ago. Now, I'm not going to say that KY's offense can't be stopped, but they have several capable weapons at every skill position & if everyone stays heathly, they will give defenses head-aches all year long. The biggest factor is going to be how much the o-line has improved. If it's improved as much as the KY coaches claim... watch out America!! If it's not, then Kentucky's offense will have it's ups & downs, but they still should be improved over last year.
With all that said, I would not be suprised if Colt Breenan or Ian Johnson wins it this year & truthfully, they probably have the best chances of anybody, IMHO.