I have experienced more than my share of droughts in the past 25 years. Some years, were not so much drought as late killing frosts that cut the hay crops to 1/4 of normal. Where I live, we normally get 1 hay crop per year, with an occasional second cut. I would only do a second cut if feed supplies are very low. I have found that taking a second cut here usually cuts the hay tonnage in the following year by more than we get in a second cut. We live in a semi arid area, where when our seasons are normal,we get great hay and grain crops, but if we even get one frost or dry period between late April and mid June, our hay crops can be greatly affected.
Over the years, I have seen hay prices at both ends of the scale. We had a good hay crop this year, and I doubt if anyone could sell a bale of hay here if they priced it at $10 per bale. I have at least a two year supply of hay now, but if I had less than that, I would definitely be trying to buy up some hay as insurance for next year. I realize that in many areas it is very hard to carry over hay from one year to the next, without come method of keeping the elements from turning it into manure.
I do not blame anyone for selling their hay at whatever the market will bare. Some would call this gouging, but I think most everyone would never think of it as gouging to sell their grain crops on high markets. A friend of mine in North Dakota just sold durham wheat at over $18 / bushel. He completely paid for 640 acres of land that he purchased this spring for $600/ acre from the first crop he grew on it. Nobody considers him as price gouging. He simply took what the market was offering. Selling hay is a market driven commodity. You can price you hay at whatever someone else is willing to pay for it. If it is too high, it wouldn't sell. If it is reasonably priced, someone will buy it.
I have learned that in years that hay gets too high, you need to really consider each and every option you have. A few pounds of grain and anything that a cow will eat for roughage will go a long ways through a winter. Once calving starts, then you may have to feed some high quality hay.
A few years ago, we could not find hay within 500 miles of us. We bought in a few loads and the trucking was more than twice the price of the hay. At the time we had over 1200 head of cattle so this option simply was not going to work.
I considered every feed option we had within a reasonable distance from our farm. Twenty miles from here was a distillery. I went to a salvage yard and found some unused propane tanks and had them cut in half. The distillery had its own trucks hauling stillage to dump in fields. I offered them 1 cent a gallon if they would haul some to our farm, and they accepted the offer. Fifty miles from my farm, I found a seed cleaning plant that was cleaning sunflower seed. I knew that sunflowers were high protien and also a good energy source. I found out that they were dumping the refuse sunflower seeds in a slough as they had no place to get rid of them. They gave us all we wanted for free if we loaded and hauled them. We took our old grain truck and a tractor with a bucket and in 3 days had a few thousand bushels. Originally, I planned to just dump them out to the cows and let them roughage through them. I sent a sample of the sunflower screenings away for a feed test, and was shocked when I found out that they were 42 % protein and also extremely high in energy. I felt there would be too much waste if I dumped it in piles and let the cows eat what they wanted.
At the same time, we were tub grinding some wheat straw to stretch out what we needed to add to some feeder rations. I did an experiment where I layered straw with a small amount of sunflower screenings and wet it down with stillage from the distillery. To my surprise it heated just like silage. The feed test of this pile came back better than the little alfalfa silage I had that year, and the cows loved it. The resulting product cost me less than 1/3 what buying hay would have, however it did take a little work.
All I am saying is that sometimes there are other options to buying hay. Cows are very adaptable, and they can utilze feed stuffs that other animals cannot.